Willing-Folklore
0x163a54e61492cac2dc8b6f45a8ae87515179cb8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.78
Total PnL
$-3.63
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.76
$0.00
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.12
$0.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 16?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$259.48Nov 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$262.50Nov 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$276.51Nov 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$278.90Nov 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 16?$3.00Nov 16, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?$1.19Nov 16, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMCuomo x Mamdani debate before election?$2.15Nov 16, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.00Sep 26, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuomo x Mamdani debate before election?$2.00Sep 26, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?$1.00Sep 26, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before 2026?$3.08Sep 26, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$2.00Jun 9, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$2.00Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$1.00Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.00Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.31Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?$0.00Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $29.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".