Probable-Cygnet
0x163e0952e23da8a811ee1ae021b1d01cf9e2d18c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.23
Realised
$-5.05
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- BUCKS
Kings vs. Bucks
2025 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.17
- LYNX
Lynx vs. Fever
161 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-42.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
85 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
78 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- RAPTORS
Nuggets vs. Raptors
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
41 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-23.45
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
40 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
38 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
36 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-13.32
- RED SOX
Red Sox vs. Athletics
32 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Magic$6.76Dec 4, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Magic$1.00Dec 4, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Magic$5.36Dec 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - December 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.40Dec 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.18Dec 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.18Dec 4, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.87Dec 4, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLClippers vs. Hawks$1.87Dec 4, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Hawks$1.78Dec 4, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.79Dec 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Magic$20.60Dec 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Magic$2.00Dec 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Dec 3, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.55Dec 3, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Dec 3, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.22Dec 3, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.33Dec 3, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Dec 3, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.