Essential-Shell
0x164cb85e1718d0a8f95d588b08fbb52b34233e39
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$289.88
Total PnL
$-72.99
Realised
$-18.71
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
110 shares @ 80.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$109.83
$20.84
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
358 shares @ 14.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.28
$48.71
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?
80 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$79.74
$2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.03
$-2.48
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 2?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 7?
175 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?
158 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.39
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
104 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$0.912h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$26.172h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$12.972h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$4.802h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$97.712h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$9.532h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$21.632h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$0.812h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$30.002h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$15.732h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 8?$34.132h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$1.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 9?$1.043h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$4.135h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$9.536h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$40.806h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$21.996h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 8?$16.166h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?$8.967h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?$5.749h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
