Sarcastic-Temptress
0x165188b9243e6a6eae8e9bf76e4e40a318076a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-641.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 6?
610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 8?
610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 17?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
232 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?
207 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?
203 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 4?$150.14Apr 7, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 4?$150.00Apr 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$330.66Apr 4, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$330.00Mar 28, 14:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Mar 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$94.77Mar 26, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$97.70Mar 26, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?$5.40Mar 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 16-22?$1.00Mar 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.00Mar 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13?$170.66Mar 17, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?$430.00Mar 17, 07:38 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?$430.00Mar 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13?$169.00Mar 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$610.00Mar 13, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $84.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.