Past-Defendant
0x1651bd7ffabf439930ba51069ff44d1b0ea20b92
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$42.45
Total PnL
$-4.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$23.53
$3.53
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 6?
2 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?
1 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?$10.07Mar 12, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$21.28Mar 12, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$48.61Mar 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$48.17Feb 27, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?$10.00Feb 27, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$10.75Feb 20, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.00Feb 10, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Feb 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.00Feb 10, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs$2.94Feb 10, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.25Feb 10, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 7, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.00Feb 7, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs$2.00Feb 7, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$37.04Feb 7, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Feb 1, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$0.00Jan 29, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.