Slight-Gas
0x1652a43ef8ca0e9a4885f0116bca55ab0c958f70
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$68.41
Total PnL
$0.16
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
9 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$8.96
$0.16
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$7.23
$0.03
- NO
Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$6.61
$0.01
- NO
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$4.22
$0.02
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$3.43
$0.13
- YES
Will Southampton be relegated?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$2.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$2.36
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$5.00Apr 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$2.30Apr 6, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?$0.00Apr 6, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace be relegated?$0.00Apr 6, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?$2.01Apr 6, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace be relegated?$5.03Apr 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$2.00Apr 4, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% in 2025?$3.76Apr 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.48Apr 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.46Apr 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?$10.01Apr 4, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Randy Fine win by more than 25%?$10.99Apr 4, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$20.54Apr 4, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$9.75Apr 4, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?$21.60Apr 4, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 3?$0.00Apr 4, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 3?$1.37Apr 4, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 3?$1.36Apr 3, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?$2.00Apr 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.00Apr 3, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.