Knowing-Baseball
0x1656229e816332a706dbabbb8065c882f957f1c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$66.93
Total PnL
$-238.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15?
28 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$27.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$23.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 15?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
110 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-53.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
110 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
100 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
90 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
90 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
90 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 15?$16.00Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$23.00Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15?$28.00Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?$18.02Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?$18.00Jun 11, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$30.03Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?$30.00Jun 3, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$89.00Jun 2, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.75Jun 2, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$5.75Jun 2, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.01Jun 1, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?$6.02Jun 1, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$26.13Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?$18.02Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 31, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$26.00May 31, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?$18.00May 31, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?$6.00May 31, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.00May 26, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $19.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.