Complete-Flicker
0x165708b135ae4e29a619e3541e1edc5dd7c84068
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$109.43Jul 15, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Texas by Friday?$109.43Jul 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Texas by Friday?$90.35Jul 8, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?$90.35Jul 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?$69.21Jul 1, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?$69.21May 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?$61.60May 18, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?$0.00May 18, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 3+ times during May 16 Baier interview?$61.23May 18, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during May 16 Baier interview?$38.00May 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 3+ times during May 16 Baier interview?$40.00May 16, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Buffett say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$78.37May 5, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Buffett say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$50.53May 3, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$0.00May 2, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$0.00May 2, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$50.53May 2, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$38.94Apr 28, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$0.00Apr 3, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during tariff event on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$0.00Apr 3, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $53.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.