Right-Outline
0x1666e4607ff2940c9ede5a64e135f5c43056ac8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.66
Realised
$-27.83
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 14?
1216 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 14?
856 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 14?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 14?
794 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 14?
254 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 14?
75 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 14?
21 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33Jan 25, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$84.99Jan 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.06Jan 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.95Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.12Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.88Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.95Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.66Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.95Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.95Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.03Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.60Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.27Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.70Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.35Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2.43Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.17Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.30Jan 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2.50Jan 24, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.