Drab-Cymbal
0x16861c320ad2ee98260b4920a994d43d19379fea
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$170.70
Total PnL
$11.34
Realised
$54.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
601 shares @ 18.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$105.17
$-8.52
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3254 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.08
$-33.79
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.45
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$40.54Jun 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$62.17Jun 8, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$9.81Jun 8, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.50Jun 6, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$31.17Jun 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$2.89Jun 5, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$20.64Jun 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$52.79Jun 5, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$39.69Jun 2, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Jun 1, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.74May 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.32May 26, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.49May 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.33May 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36.36May 22, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.33May 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.98May 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.21May 22, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$48.70May 20, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.56May 20, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.