0x16873b05c2b321c6bb09c27b9e0b0327a10474b1
0x16873b05c2b321c6bb09c27b9e0b0327a10474b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
138
Open notional
$130.43
Total PnL
$-592.68
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
81 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$47.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
49 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$39.75
$-0.25
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 88.2¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.98
$-0.03
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$18.40Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$30.67Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$40.62Jun 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.05Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$60.56Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$8.08Jun 13, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.24Jun 13, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$12.82Jun 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$15.38Jun 12, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$5.14Jun 12, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$11.43Jun 12, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$8.15Jun 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$3.17Jun 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$10.43Jun 10, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.01Jun 9, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.01Jun 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.01Jun 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$5.05Jun 9, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.06Jun 9, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.07Jun 9, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.