Growing-Meridian
0x168f65c423449045d145970d015f6b0a70804bdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$40.70
Total PnL
$10.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$20.56
$10.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$20.14
$9.87
- NO
Will Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
13 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Up Only podcast released by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$10.62Jul 15, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10.64Jun 3, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.09Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?$4.96Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$5.00Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?$4.20Apr 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.71Mar 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$3.45Feb 28, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$6.75Feb 28, 02:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Feb 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$2.09Feb 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.80Feb 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?$8.20Feb 23, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Raptors$23.47Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Raptors$12.44Feb 4, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$16.45Feb 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$9.30Jan 20, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Jan 20, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.30Jan 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.24Dec 10, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $35.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.