Strong-Visual
0x168fd7301811b13e0596c4725fe6507884249e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-34.63
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
600 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-558.00
- YES
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?
583 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-384.77
- YES
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?
553 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.30
- YES
Will Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
340 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-180.20
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?
205 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-16.40
- NO
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence?
181 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.10
- NO
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?
168 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$7.22Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$0.29Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$33.61Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$29.85Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$34.51Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$37.31Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.18Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.30Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$0.30Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$0.36Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.38Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?$0.44Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.50Jul 3, 14:43 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$45.01Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$24.42Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.67Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.55Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$27.72Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$23.20Jun 29, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $84.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.