Appropriate-Fedora
0x1696e7844e2480fb1f566facf9f8a5d5d0b17cee
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$20.83
Total PnL
$-274.39
Realised
$1.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$9.20
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
77 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-61.55
- YES
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 20 or more straight weeks?
44 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 15 straight weeks?
35 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.07
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
30 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?
28 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?$1.10Apr 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.05Apr 22, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.30Apr 22, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.80Apr 22, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.97Apr 19, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$4.88Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?$10.80Apr 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$2.16Apr 16, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 30?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 2?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 14 straight weeks?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 14 straight weeks?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$0.00Mar 18, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.