Open-Sign
0x16991fa9d3c2cf8aa71561c5e603cdc84b56e38c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-185.47
Realised
$11.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
207 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.28
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
189 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
126 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
102 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-27.89
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
48 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.48
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?
34 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will anyone say "China" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?
22 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$21.48Jan 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.08Jan 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$41.20Jan 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$37.97Jan 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$3.63Jan 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$34.47Jan 16, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$34.47Jan 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$30.52Jan 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$30.52Jan 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$70.00Jan 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$70.00Jan 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?$27.69Jan 14, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)$0.00Jan 14, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)$27.68Jan 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)$20.21Jan 12, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?$20.21Jan 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?$14.35Jan 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.00Jan 11, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Jan 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 11?$14.35Jan 11, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".