Smoggy-Doubt
0x169d33c3a7d9fad9a2def0dd776becba02b07102
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-85.5K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1098 shares @ 90.6¢·now 85.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$941.53
$-53.25
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
606 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$568.13
$2.73
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
990 shares @ 35.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$361.35
$14.85
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.54
$-0.24
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET
45745 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-22.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7PM ET
41083 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
28000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-14.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5PM ET
16659 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET
10078 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
10031 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $191.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".