Fluffy-Poll
0x16a8d4f310700b750fe5dc481becd6ee835b7686
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-691.36
Realised
$31.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1363 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
623 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-83.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
457 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-217.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
372 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?
288 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
273 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$11.91Mar 1, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$5.07Mar 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$185.23Mar 1, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$66.78Mar 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$118.45Mar 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$40.07Mar 1, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$40.00Mar 1, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?$6.15Mar 1, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$216.33Feb 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$204.14Feb 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.00Feb 15, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET$208.14Feb 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET$121.33Feb 15, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$121.33Feb 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$61.63Feb 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET$111.62Feb 15, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$90.66Feb 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET$90.00Feb 15, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $78.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".