Mellow-Equinox
0x16b2faac1a3631f11455b33d278fb3dbcd8083b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$720.30
Total PnL
$-60.81
Realised
$-2.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
370 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$370.30
$1.04
- NO
Will A.J. Ewart win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
350 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$350.00
$0.35
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $130-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
607 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?
478 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 4?
460 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.34
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?
360 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-28.08
- YES
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
281 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
230 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 September 29-October 5?
220 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 17?
151 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3.22Mar 30, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?$369.26Mar 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $130-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$5.70Mar 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A.J. Ewart win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$349.65Mar 25, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.12Mar 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.68Mar 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$239.52Mar 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$239.76Mar 14, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$350.34Dec 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$349.30Nov 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on November 17?$427.57Nov 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on November 17?$429.57Nov 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $190 on November 17?$0.48Nov 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 17?$0.40Nov 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $190 on November 17?$1.92Nov 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 17?$2.00Nov 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.12Nov 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.24Nov 16, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?$330.00Nov 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?$329.67Nov 8, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $155.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".