Narrow-Unemployment
0x16b42fb18b836f34e68315e37e99b126463b648a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$42.18
Total PnL
$15.03
Realised
$1.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$14.50
$13.50
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.50
$7.50
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.00
$1.08
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
2479 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.96
$-0.80
- YES
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.29
$-8.71
- YES
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.82
$0.59
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.80
$0.05
- YES
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
8 shares @ 0.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$0.44
$0.41
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.38
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.11May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.06May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.06May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.14May 17, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.12May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.04May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.05May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.04May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.00May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.02May 17, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".