Knowing-Reform
0x16b8e520c848a497f8258b5ce6d0714179865201
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-332.24
Realised
$-94.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1493 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 24?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $101K on June 24 at 5PM ET?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran behind June 12 internet outages?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$447.08Jul 5, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$544.08Jun 24, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$521.79Jun 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$22.30Jun 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$38.60Jun 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$38.60Jun 24, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$500.51Jun 24, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$67.00Jun 24, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 29?$75.64Jun 24, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 27?$69.19Jun 24, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 26?$26.38Jun 24, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 26?$85.55Jun 24, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$80.19Jun 24, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 25?$230.56Jun 24, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 25?$100.05Jun 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 25?$84.00Jun 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$184.05Jun 24, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 25?$47.27Jun 24, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$47.27Jun 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 26?$110.97Jun 24, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $176.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".