Horrible-Octagon
0x16c275ed3ce860a6168e3d4d2da09b2bdb114236
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.55
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.55
$-0.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
3780 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
3580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.20Mar 27, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 2, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.04Feb 2, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?$1.01Jan 6, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.08Jan 6, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.10Jan 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.00Dec 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?$1.00Dec 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Nov 25, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$59.93Nov 12, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$60.00Nov 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$29.96Nov 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$18.89Nov 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$11.11Nov 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$51.00Nov 5, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $453.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".