0x16c78ab93d22f89e52dfe499c820b2cd598f3b1a
0x16c78ab93d22f89e52dfe499c820b2cd598f3b1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$21.03
Total PnL
$-488.71
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.20
$7.20
- YES
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.44
$0.45
- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$-1.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
311 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
41 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
41 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
38 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
36 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
33 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
32 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$7.02Apr 26, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$4.91Apr 26, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.35Apr 26, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$8.37Apr 25, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$3.70Apr 25, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$3.49Apr 25, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.50Apr 25, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$6.84Apr 25, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.83Apr 25, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$6.87Apr 25, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.18Apr 25, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$4.02Apr 25, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.59Apr 24, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.67Apr 24, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.86Apr 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.04Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.83Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.97Apr 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$3.22Apr 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$8.58Apr 23, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.