Brilliant-Pancake
0x16c7f9b7b239c980929a2aa5d53b23c5cac03931
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-329.8K
Realised
$-452.44
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
448905 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-65.7K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
183127 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-63.2K
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?
127606 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.5K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
98425 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-21.5K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
96606 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-45.1K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
57694 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-8.8K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
28758 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?
23400 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?
20000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 IR Iran?
17962 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-766.40
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.29Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.69Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$677.97Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.38Jul 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$168.92Jul 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.28Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$0.30Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$348.25Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$2.77Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$5.87Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$109.93Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$136.28Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.33Jul 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$251.08Jul 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$1.81Jul 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$408.20Jul 19, 18:25 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.31Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.5KJul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$28.55Jul 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$92.84Jul 11, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$40.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
73%
Window
Jun 6, 14:40 UTC → Jun 23, 22:06 UTC
- BUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$11.7K@46¢Jun 8, 11:12 UTC
- SELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$11.0K@61¢Jun 6, 14:37 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
73%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
$22.1K · 55% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $380.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.