Spotted-Boatyard
0x16c92e4a39f843c21ba4ff5a12b5825840c291d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.48
Realised
$-14.03
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 11?
137 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or below on May 12?
109 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 12?
79 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 11?
54 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?
35 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?
35 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 13?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 11?
33 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?
32 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 12?
26 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?$4.08May 16, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?$4.24May 15, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?$3.02May 15, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 13?$15.89May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?$0.81May 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$0.01May 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?$0.74May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?$0.32May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?$1.14May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?$1.15May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?$0.18May 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?$1.52May 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?$2.19May 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?$1.25May 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?$0.59May 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?$0.13May 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?$0.49May 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?$0.97May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?$0.82May 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?$1.45May 13, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.