Agonizing-Pilaf
0x16ca8f858cc13b5f3eed7a3308469bf32b3eabfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
4438 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
4141 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
1899 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-91.10
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
881 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-552.24
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
728 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.93
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
595 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
447 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-41.00
- NO
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.25
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Cavaliers
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?$100.25Nov 7, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$23.39Nov 6, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$13.50Nov 5, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$27.60Nov 5, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?$41.00Nov 5, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$5.73Oct 31, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNets vs. Grizzlies$4.95Oct 31, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Pacers$0.01Oct 31, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Magic$0.00Oct 31, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Grizzlies$3.25Oct 31, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pacers$3.00Oct 31, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Wizards$5.00Oct 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.00Oct 30, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Cavaliers$10.00Oct 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.4KOct 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$1.1KOct 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$50.93Oct 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$50.00Oct 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$50.00Oct 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$50.00Oct 28, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $333.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.