Remote-Marsh-Religion
0x16d0347b5491ea2b09198659ff66df5294777f72
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.98
Total PnL
$-30.30
Realised
$-1.11
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
537 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
655 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?
123 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
1082 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$5.17Aug 10, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$2.10Aug 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$2.10Aug 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?$2.10Aug 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?$2.71Aug 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?$87.10Aug 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?$5.20Aug 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Nacional win on 2026-08-10?$5.20Aug 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?$51.20Aug 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-09?$58.02Aug 9, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-09?$50.48Aug 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-09?$19.04Aug 9, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.64Aug 9, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$7.30Aug 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10.21Aug 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$24.56Aug 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$15.29Aug 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-09?$15.20Aug 9, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals$61.91Aug 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals$50.03Aug 9, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 22:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.