Severe-Gaffe
0x16d19d5dda72f80458e59c2a9fa0907aec928810
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$-398.10
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3040 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2730 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
2311 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
1443 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-85.12
- JD GAMING
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- JD GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
945 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-583.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 22?
836 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
757 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 20?
500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.58Apr 6, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 5?$93.19Apr 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$8.46Apr 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$27.72Apr 5, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$41.98Apr 5, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$10.02Apr 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$0.36Apr 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$6.70Apr 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$55.03Apr 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$69.27Apr 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?$4.00Apr 5, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$22.82Apr 5, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$18.23Apr 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.81Apr 5, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $34.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".