Jagged-Dignity
0x16d7f8d659e9616c1a95adbc2b07b29ae55b0500
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-477.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 28?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 28?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 28?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 26?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 25?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on June 2?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 4?
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.64Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2.06Jul 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.05Jul 14, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$3.85Jul 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.06Jul 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$4.00Jul 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.06Jul 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.06Jul 14, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$3.85Jul 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$3.45Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$2.06Jul 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$3.77Jul 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.07Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.