Constant-Military
0x16d8ecfcc027d011c15d39a041eb24b0397d3331
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$40.90
Total PnL
$-46.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 26?
40 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$39.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 11?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $230 on October 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 11?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 9?
224 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $290?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 26?$40.0012h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?$86.0812h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?$86.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$86.084d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$86.009d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?$86.089d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?$86.0013d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 7?$86.0813d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 7?$86.0019d ago
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?$86.0919d ago
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?$86.0023d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?$86.0823d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?$86.0025d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?$86.0925d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?$86.0033d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?$86.0933d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?$86.0035d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$86.0935d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$86.0040d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $53.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 95d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.