Constant-Military
0x16d8ecfcc027d011c15d39a041eb24b0397d3331
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-47.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 11?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $230 on October 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 11?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 12?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 9?
224 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $290?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on June 11?$85.10Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on June 11?$85.00Jun 11, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 12?$1.05Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$86.09May 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$86.01May 26, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$86.09May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$86.01May 22, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$86.09May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$86.01May 19, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$86.09May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$86.01May 15, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.17May 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?$1.00May 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.01May 6, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$1.00May 6, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$87.09May 6, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$1.00May 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$87.00May 3, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$1.09May 3, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 26?$40.04May 3, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $64.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.