Twin-Futon
0x16daed14cdbad8cc6f58f1e959e4b6d9611a5ab8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$206.96
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
47 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$47.37
$29.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Easiest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
42 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$41.98
$23.98
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
38 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$37.93
$4.93
- NO
Will Trump say "Poland" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
33 shares @ 55.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$32.50
$14.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Tomahawk" 2+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
25 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$25.00
$7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Through the roof" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
22 shares @ 81.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$22.19
$4.19
- NO
Will Walz say "Teacher" at DNC speech?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will RFK drop out before November?
1262 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?
1194 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?
1176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$10.20Nov 6, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$10.00Nov 6, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET$8.10Nov 6, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$15.00Nov 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eight Wars" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Poland" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Through the roof" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Easiest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Budapest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tomahawk" 2+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$18.00Nov 6, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $77.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".