Exalted-Waveform
0x16deb7b09a1fd62c40e76c40d859016e868bd569
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.72
Total PnL
$-947.49
Realised
$-22.63
Win rate
2%
189 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Birmingham City FC 2 - 2 Bristol City FC?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$19.89
$18.87
- YES
Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw?
17 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.29
$0.00
- YES
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?
17 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$3.03
$-0.43
- YES
Will Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United end in a draw?
16 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.55
$-1.90
- YES
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 2 Charlton Athletic FC?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.01
$-0.01
- YES
Exact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 2 - 2 Bolton Wanderers FC?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.96
$-0.06
- YES
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 2 Charlton Athletic FC?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.95
$-0.07
- YES
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 0 Charlton Athletic FC?
22 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.94
$-0.08
- YES
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 1 Charlton Athletic FC?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.94
$-0.08
- YES
Exact Score: Birmingham City FC 1 - 2 Bristol City FC?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.09
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 0 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 0 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.24Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 2 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 1 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 1 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 1 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.24Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 2 Charlton Athletic FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 2 - 1 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.34Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 1 - 1 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.58Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 1 - 2 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 0 - 0 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.06Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 1 - 0 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.45Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Queens Park Rangers FC 2 - 2 Bolton Wanderers FC?$1.07Aug 22, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Cerezo Ōsaka 1 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse?$11.20Aug 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Birmingham City FC 1 - 1 Bristol City FC?$1.61Aug 22, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Birmingham City FC 1 - 0 Bristol City FC?$1.61Aug 22, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Birmingham City FC 2 - 1 Bristol City FC?$1.36Aug 22, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Birmingham City FC 0 - 1 Bristol City FC?$1.07Aug 22, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Birmingham City FC 2 - 2 Bristol City FC?$1.07Aug 22, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 189 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
189 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 189 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.