Gracious-Underpants
0x16dfc716b4cee01f2c0febe62c9c8b54a9bfeac2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-6.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$1.56
$0.16
- NO
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest country" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$1.40Jan 18, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$1.18Jan 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$1.19Jan 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.13Dec 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.17Dec 7, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?$1.06Dec 5, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.56Dec 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.40Dec 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill it Snow in Miami this December?$1.48Nov 30, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it Snow in Miami this December?$1.49Nov 28, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?$3.09Nov 24, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?$3.02Nov 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?$1.05Nov 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.43Nov 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.53Nov 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest country" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$1.30Sep 19, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELL2025 September third hottest on record?$1.50Sep 16, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September third hottest on record?$1.49Sep 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump and Putin shake hands by October 31?$1.05Aug 14, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$1.23Aug 14, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".