Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.02

Total PnL

$-12.7K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 52

NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$1.02
$0.02
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 31, 09:04 UTC
REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Oct 31, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 20, 06:26 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$500.00Oct 19, 04:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 02:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 02:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$500.00Oct 19, 02:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 01:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 01:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$500.00Oct 19, 01:45 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Oct 19, 00:04 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Oct 19, 00:04 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Oct 19, 00:04 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 00:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$250.00Oct 19, 00:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Oct 18, 23:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Oct 18, 23:55 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Oct 18, 23:55 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$500.00Oct 18, 23:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$500.00Oct 18, 23:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk84 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 29
Avg trade size: $231.97
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 16, 23:37 UTC
Last active: Oct 31, 09:04 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:40:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data