Harmonious-Aggradation
0x16f15294d36d9b2d6856e2c4adf76a6793dbd83c
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$-2.86
Win rate
17%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
592 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-411.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
586 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-416.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
576 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-416.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
556 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-414.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
322 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-206.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
318 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-203.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
300 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-199.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
292 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-208.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
288 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-208.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
278 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.16
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.45Aug 21, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$18.00Aug 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$99.92Aug 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$100.12Aug 21, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$11.00Aug 21, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$98.08Aug 21, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$66.00Aug 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$101.38Aug 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$99.92Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$108.63Aug 20, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$103.01Aug 20, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$119.00Aug 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$99.96Aug 20, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$164.00Aug 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$87.68Aug 20, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$14.08Aug 20, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.20Aug 20, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$34.00Aug 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$99.92Aug 20, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$98.23Aug 20, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
36 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $57.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.