Silent-Notebook
0x16faf83c6c9a6e7505b6ec8a3fc8f7cf81a71ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$117.12
Total PnL
$-162.72
Realised
$-80.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of July 6 2026?
117 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$117.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
1833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?
1550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 30?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 24?
877 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 11?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 24?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of July 6 2026?$117.00Jul 10, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$117.12Jul 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$117.00Jun 30, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.82Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.21Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$91.09Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$91.00May 31, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMKosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard$8.29May 31, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.08May 31, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$83.01May 30, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard$5.85May 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.20May 30, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 25 2026?$3.62May 29, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 25 2026?$99.35May 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 25 2026?$11.34May 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.80May 29, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$5.64May 29, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on May 28?$10.87May 29, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$105.32May 29, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$105.02May 28, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $78.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.