Illustrious-Doubter
0x16fb352b81924f65767d267f97f99b9d38ae2c6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$15.24
Total PnL
$-166.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 58.5¢·now 69.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.76
$0.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9AM ET
157 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$17.24Mar 7, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Mar 7, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.00Mar 7, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 7, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 7, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9AM ET$29.24Mar 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9AM ET$15.15Mar 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00Mar 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9AM ET$80.00Feb 19, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET$100.00Feb 19, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET$51.00Feb 18, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET$50.98Feb 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET$26.00Feb 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET$40.00Feb 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET$39.22Feb 16, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET$20.00Feb 14, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$38.11Feb 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Feb 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET$5.00Feb 5, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".