Thunderous-Stage
0x16fc020bad18dfba3fa5d61b796d50d109116331
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.08
Total PnL
$0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.82
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.58
$0.01
- YES
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.59
$0.19
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$2.81Apr 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.57Apr 13, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.40Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.10Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.90Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.97Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.23Apr 13, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.78Jan 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.96Jan 14, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.02Jan 14, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.03Jan 14, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.05Jan 14, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.20Jan 14, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.29Jan 14, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.74Jan 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.02Dec 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.01Dec 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.16Dec 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Nov 19, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.09Nov 19, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $299.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.