Hurtful-Chord
0x16ff612472666c9a46c6b78de7632fac23b0eb4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$-43.96
Win rate
13%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
713 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-377.62
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
712 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-363.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
711 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-375.91
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
474 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-233.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
473 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-244.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
473 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-240.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
424 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-228.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
356 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-160.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
298 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-127.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
255 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-120.71
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.83Feb 3, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$98.44Feb 2, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$98.44Feb 2, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$98.44Feb 2, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$98.44Feb 2, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$98.44Feb 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$50.70Feb 2, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$50.70Feb 2, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$50.88Feb 2, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$51.00Feb 2, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$98.44Feb 2, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$59.06Feb 2, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$51.00Feb 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$50.80Feb 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$50.83Feb 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$50.75Feb 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$51.00Feb 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$50.75Feb 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$51.85Feb 2, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$236.25Feb 2, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $28.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.