0x17085816d1736e3471ab90530d05dbd79c15c2c7
0x17085816d1736e3471ab90530d05dbd79c15c2c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-672.75
Realised
$-203.30
Win rate
3%
89 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$2.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
208 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
158 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
150 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
103 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.92
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
101 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.54Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.94Jun 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.23Jun 18, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.99Jun 18, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Jun 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.45Jun 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.05Jun 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.33Jun 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.91Jun 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.18Jun 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$3.48Jun 18, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Jun 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.37Jun 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.58Jun 18, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.00Jun 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$3.18Jun 18, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 89 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
89 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 89 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.