Skeletal-Octave
0x17136a0b5a16da8f153cc63529e538bd6c4f6c0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$5.66
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$2.76Apr 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$2.84Apr 22, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.67Jan 27, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.60 in November?$1.51Dec 27, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.56Dec 27, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.47Nov 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.54Nov 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.60 in November?$1.50Nov 28, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?$1.83Nov 7, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$3.19Nov 7, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$1.72Oct 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?$1.79Oct 24, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$1.45Oct 24, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$0.00Oct 18, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMFarcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.85Oct 18, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.80 in September?$2.76Oct 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.80 in September?$2.75Sep 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.83Sep 16, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.01Nov 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.01Nov 7, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.