Dead-Experiment
0x171392961f46c999f7cf3bbe83583a2924776dd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$4.76
Total PnL
$-247.12
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
282 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.09
$-8.46
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
150 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.67
$-17.33
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will another person be next UK prime minister?
2754 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-16.52
- YES
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1025 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
405 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
310 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$12.16Mar 16, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$36.80Mar 9, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.89Mar 9, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$17.43Mar 9, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$4.24Mar 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$11.00Mar 8, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.00Mar 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.03Feb 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.54Feb 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.46Feb 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.44Feb 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.17Feb 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$7.00Feb 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.39Feb 7, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Dec 28, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMPatriots vs. Ravens$5.00Dec 27, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Dec 27, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$30.00Dec 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLPatriots vs. Ravens$3.00Dec 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Ravens$3.00Dec 22, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".