Wary-Promise
0x17341bf0fd1f36b3e2544e7048040e0809155875
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.07
Total PnL
$-10.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.07
$1.42
- YES
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
36 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
19 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-29?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.65Jan 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$3.80Jan 31, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-29?$1.08Jan 29, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.05Jan 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.45Jan 29, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.30Jan 24, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.45Jan 22, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.85Jan 21, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.60Jan 20, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$0.36Jan 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?$3.50Jan 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?$0.92Jan 9, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?$0.22Jan 9, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$5.00Jan 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$1.85Jan 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.15Jan 5, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?$5.00Jan 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.15Jan 5, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?$2.65Jan 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.80Jan 1, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".