Writhing-Final
0x1740b38c4a6cb9a96706b17cb8eac4a24f94a34b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$83.18
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
41 shares @ 72.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$41.22
$11.22
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.38
$5.38
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.71
$4.71
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.49
$1.49
- NO
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
7468 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?
1641 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
347 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?$130.00Sep 3, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?$40.00Sep 3, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$17.44Aug 20, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$10.00Aug 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$20.00Aug 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Aug 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?$10.00Aug 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$10.00Aug 7, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$50.00Aug 7, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$20.00Aug 7, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$5.35Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in July?$5.80Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Jul 21, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?$2.92Jul 16, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9PM ET$8.33Jul 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$5.62Jul 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9PM ET$5.00Jul 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$5.00Jul 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Jul 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?$50.00Jul 16, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $73.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.