Prize-Checkroom
0x175ccb5a9244ce843b0295a8d6407192a5fc2a68
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-425.15
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?
1521 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?
1070 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
284 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?
41 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21?
36 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?$1.05Aug 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?$3.13Aug 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?$13.48Aug 3, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?$41.68Aug 2, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?$5.18Aug 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?$16.31Aug 2, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?$27.80Aug 1, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?$15.92Aug 1, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?$1.05Aug 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$38.94Jul 31, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 31, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?$17.15Jul 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$10.58Jul 30, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$24.34Jul 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 30, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 30, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$1.66Jul 30, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$1.65Jul 30, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?$0.46Jul 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$6.84Jul 29, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.