Dependent-Foray
0x175e14f58ac681a7294b1c17e1551f39c072e083
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$171.33
Total PnL
$-14.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$0.40
- YES
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
71 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$71.33
$4.28
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Greek" or "Greece" or "Hellenic" 20+ times during Greek Independence Day event?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during Greek Independence Day event?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.07Mar 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.22Mar 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.22Mar 28, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.28Mar 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.17Mar 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.27Mar 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.40Mar 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.54Mar 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$0.54Mar 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$99.60Mar 27, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$15.67Mar 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$35.72Mar 27, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$15.67Mar 27, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Greek Independence Day event?$0.51Mar 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Greek Independence Day event?$2.90Mar 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Greek Independence Day event?$2.39Mar 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greek" or "Greece" or "Hellenic" 20+ times during Greek Independence Day event?$4.80Mar 26, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?$6.00Mar 26, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?$20.00Mar 26, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$30.00Mar 26, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $129.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.