Probable-Coal
0x1761a6f5a76fd7b31942e9c993732c767c335ec5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.87
Realised
$-4.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?
568 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?
297 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?
202 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
110 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
57 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-41.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
57 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$31.14Jan 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$20.00Jan 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.00Jan 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$61.14Jan 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$41.95Jan 7, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$43.38Jan 7, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$62.05Jan 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$4.09Dec 30, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?$0.00Dec 30, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?$39.89Dec 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer?$1.00Dec 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?$4.00Dec 29, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?$20.00Dec 29, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?$30.00Dec 29, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?$20.00Dec 29, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?$10.00Dec 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer?$5.00Dec 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?$5.00Dec 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?$10.00Dec 29, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.