Substantial-Heat
0x17663fc676efb2016ca78c53617ddc281dcd5705
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$438.16
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$272.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
438 shares @ 64.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$438.16
$157.16
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
14968 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
12536 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
10265 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
7538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-979.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2000 on May 9?
7073 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-187.99
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
5709 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-599.99
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3514 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
3078 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
2899 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$281.00Jan 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$3.2KDec 22, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$2.0KDec 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$100.00Dec 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$100.00Dec 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$100.00Dec 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$2.0KDec 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$100.00Dec 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$130.00Dec 20, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win via Decision?$100.00Dec 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win via Decision?$10.00Dec 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$500.00Dec 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $36.00Dec 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$500.00Dec 18, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $499.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".