Elastic-Retrospect
0x176a843b4495d40c245614ea320a88a89a17a140
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$263.62
Total PnL
$-73.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 54.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.45
$8.45
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$83.54
$-16.46
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.12
$-0.88
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.22
$-7.78
- YES
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.89
$-1.11
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.39
$-3.61
- NO
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
1400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
348 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- AEK
AEK vs. BC Rytas
41 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$10.49May 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$48.18May 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$100.84May 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?$20.79May 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center in space by December 31, 2026?$10.36May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$205.43May 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$135.01May 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$50.00May 15, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.25May 14, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$101.81May 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$51.82May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.09May 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$10.11May 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.22May 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.23May 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.30May 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.22May 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$102.28May 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$10.38May 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00May 9, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $56.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".