Fatherly-Mutt
0x176fc34fc738a1c2c17fa3ee313cb925a0fb8d13
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-304.03
Realised
$-59.26
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?
227 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $86,000 on January 24?
218 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?
176 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-47.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 7?
137 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 29?
135 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
116 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- NO
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
113 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-109.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
107 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
98 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
91 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 8?$49.45Aug 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 8?$0.06Aug 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 8?$46.97Aug 7, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$45.89Jul 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 8?$44.42Jul 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 7?$2.20Jul 6, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?$3.03Jun 1, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$52.87May 29, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$50.76May 27, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 15?$48.04May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 15?$46.79May 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?$2.18May 13, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$45.17May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$43.86May 8, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET$47.60Apr 28, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET$10.42Apr 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET$35.28Apr 28, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29?$53.33Apr 28, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 19, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$0.00Apr 12, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $29.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.