Pure-Doughnut
0x177200c0edc5018869776f425a5b720c5316b37d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$115.27
Total PnL
$-217.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$106.11
$0.11
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$9.17
$3.67
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1933 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 8?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
743 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 10?
738 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$106.01Jul 10, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$5.61Jul 10, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$111.16Jul 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$111.01Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$111.27Jun 27, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$111.01Jun 26, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$14.11Jun 26, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.72Jun 26, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$81.16Jun 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$81.01May 31, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.70May 31, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$97.10May 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$97.01May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$14.10May 30, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$110.33May 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$110.00May 30, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 28?$14.55May 30, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$96.19May 30, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$96.00May 28, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 28?$14.54May 28, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $77.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.